Chelsea vs AC Milan Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups – August 10, 2025

One of the standout pre-season friendlies this weekend will see Chelsea take on AC Milan at Stamford Bridge. Both teams are giants of European football, and whenever they meet, fans and experts pay close attention. Here’s our look at the match, recent form, head-to-head stats, and prediction.

Match Preview

Chelsea are flying high under Enzo Maresca. They’ve picked up a string of impressive wins, including a 3-0 clean-sheet victory over PSG in the Club World Cup final. That performance showed not just solid defending but also how dangerous they are on the counter. The squad has been strengthened in key areas, giving them more tactical options.

The Blues love to hit teams on the break, especially through the wings, where Estevao and Cole Palmer cause constant problems. Injuries to Noni Madueke and Joao Felix have reduced their attacking depth, but the form of Moises Caicedo, Palmer, and Joao Pedro has more than made up for it. Playing at home, Chelsea usually up the intensity, which could be a big factor.

AC Milan, managed by Massimiliano Allegri, have had a mixed pre-season. They’ve blown away some teams – like Perth Glory (9-0) and Liverpool (4-2) – showing their attacking firepower with Rafael Leao and Christian Pulisic leading the charge. But defeats to Arsenal and Roma have shown they can be shaky at the back against well-organized teams.

New signings Ardon Jashari and Samuele Ricci have added variety in midfield, while striker Santiago Gimenez gives them a solid goal threat. However, Milan’s attacking success will still largely depend on Leao’s pace and moments of individual brilliance. Against a disciplined Chelsea side, they’ll need to be clinical.

Probable Lineups

Chelsea: Sanchez; Gusto, Chalobah, Colwill, Cucurella; James, Caicedo, Palmer, Fernandez, Neto; Joao Pedro

AC Milan: Maignan; Tomori, Thiaw, Pavlovic, Saelemaekers; Ricci, Fofana; Pulisic, Bartesaghi, Loftus-Cheek; Leao

Head-to-Head Facts

• Chelsea have won 4 of their last 5 matches against Milan

• Milan’s last win over Chelsea came in 2012

• Three of the last five meetings have seen three goals or fewer

Prediction

Chelsea look the sharper and more balanced side right now, with home advantage and a strong recent record against Milan on their side. Milan will create chances through Leao’s pace and Pulisic’s creativity, but Chelsea’s defensive structure and counterattack could tip the game in their favor.

Prediction: Chelsea to win in a close game.